CRE Sector Sees Price Growth, but Fewer Deals in January: Real Capital Analytics

Originally published by Michael Tucker on March 1, 2021.

U.S. commercial property prices grew again in January, sector analysts reported.

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Mall Values Plunge 60% After Reappraisals Triggered by Bad Debt

U.S. mall values plunged an average 60% after appraisals in 2020, a sign of more pain to come for retail properties even as the economy emerges from pandemic-enforced lockdowns.

About $4 billion in value was erased from 118 retail-anchored properties with commercial mortgage-backed securities debt after reappraisals triggered by payment delinquencies, defaults or foreclosures, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

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Major Risk of Bankruptcies, CRE Price Drops, Fed Reports

Originally published by Rich Miller on February 19, 2021, for Bloomberg.com.

The Federal Reserve warned of significant risks of business bankruptcies and steep drops in commercial real estate prices in a report published on Friday.

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Appraisal Institute Awards Education Scholarships to 14 Aspiring Appraisers

Appraisal Institute, Fannie Mae, National Urban League Award Scholarships to Strengthen Diversity in Profession

14 students receive $1,250 in scholarships for three qualifying education courses as part of the Appraiser Diversity Initiative.
CHICAGO (Feb. 18, 2021) – The Appraisal Institute in collaboration with Fannie Mae and the National Urban League today announced the first class of 2021 aspiring real estate appraisers receiving scholarships through the Appraiser Diversity Initiative. The scholarship recipients were Jamilah Abdur Rahman, Philadelphia; Angela Anderson, Portsmouth, Rhode Island; Heather Boyd, Waynesville, North Carolina; Vernon Davis, Jr, New Orleans; Devyn Gonzalez, Dallas; Akil Henderson, White Plains, Maryland; Theresa Kennedy, Atlantic City, New Jersey; Melinda Kitchens, Florence, Montana; Abby Reichner, Zephyrhills, Florida; Kristeen Reynolds, Port Arthur, Texas; Ophelia Robinson, Alexandria, Virginia; Heather Vallier, Jacksonville, Florida; Alea Walker, Columbus, Georgia; and April Zadow, Urbandale, Iowa. 
 
“Achieving equity in homeownership and building generational wealth is challenging when the gatekeepers don’t reflect who we are or see the value in where we live,” said Marc H. Morial, president and CEO of the National Urban League. “We’re proud to help build a pipeline of diverse appraisers through our Entrepreneurship Centers that empower Black homeowners and communities.”
 
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Risk of Flood Damage to Homes to Reach $32B by 2051: Report

Originally published by Kate Duguid for Reuters.com on February 22, 2021. 

Rising sea levels and extreme weather could cause $20 billion of flood damage to at-risk U.S. homes this year, rising to $32 billion by 2051, according to research from New York-based flood research non-profit First Street Foundation published on Monday.

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FHFA Extends COVID-19 Forbearance Deadline, Foreclosure, REO Eviction Moratoriums

Originally published by the  Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) on February 25, 2021.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency announced on February 25 that it is extending until June 30 the moratoriums on single-family foreclosures and real estate-owned evictions due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. The agency also announced that borrowers with a mortgage backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac can apply for another three-month extension of COVID-19 forbearance.

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Office Vacancy Rates Expected to Keep Rising: Moody’s

Originally published by Michael Tucker on February 23, 2021, for Newslink.com

The office market has seen less deterioration during the pandemic recession than it did during the Great Recession, but it’s not out of the woods yet, reported Moody’s Analytics REIS, New York.

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Rising Lumber Costs Put Damper on Single-family Housing Starts in January: NAHB

Originally published on February 18, 2021, for the National Association of Home Builders.

Housing production softened in January as rising lumber prices continue to affect the housing industry. Overall housing starts decreased 6.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.58 million units, according to a report from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau.

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Federal Reserve Test Envisions ‘Substantial Stress’ in CRE and Corporate Debt Markets

Originally published by Pete Schroeder on February 12, 2021 for Reuters.com.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve on Friday unveiled the hypothetical recession it plans to test large banks against in its 2021 stress tests, which includes “substantial stress” in the commercial real estate and corporate debt markets.

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ASB Extends Current Edition of USPAP Through December 2022

Media Contact:
Amy Timmerman
(202) 624-3048

BREAKING: 2020-21 USPAP Extended for One Year

(Washington, DC) February 19, 2021 – The Appraisal Foundation’s Appraisal Standards Board (ASB) announced today that the current edition of the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) will be extended by one year. The 2020-2021 USPAP will now be effective until December 31, 2022.
“USPAP has been a living document since its adoption in 1987. Initially, changes were being adopted so frequently, they were simply being added as inserts into a large binder. As time has progressed the updating cycle lengthened to one year and now two years. Like every profession, COVID-19 has had an unprecedented impact on the appraisal profession and how we conduct day-to-day business. Pressing issues have arisen in our profession over the past year ranging widely from concerns about fair housing matters to how to conduct a socially distanced property inspection. USPAP is a maturing document, and it can take longer to study the complex issues facing our profession and how they will impact our standards. We believe all of these are all critical issues and deserve thoughtful consideration before we issue guidance,” said ASB Chair Wayne Miller.
“With that in mind, we have decided to extend the effective date of the current USPAP by one year. This will provide continuity to the profession during this pandemic while also giving the ASB the appropriate time to carefully examine the challenges facing our profession before offering additional guidance.”
To learn more about this announcement, please visit The Appraisal Foundation website, appraisalfoundation.org, or click here to read our Frequently Asked Questions, including how this decision impacts continuing education courses.
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Economy is Expected to Expand Nearly 7% This Year, Fannie Mae

Originally published by Fannie Mae on February 18, 2021. 

Fiscal Stimulus, Successful Vaccine Deployment Likely to Boost Growth but Also Pose Inflationary Risk

WASHINGTON, DC – The U.S. economy is expected to grow 6.7 percent in 2021, an improvement not only from last year’s 2.5 percent contraction but up, too, compared to last month’s forecast of 5.3 percent, according to the February 2021 commentary from the Fannie Mae (FNMA/OTCQB) Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group. The latest forecast upgrade of full-year 2021 real GDP growth reflects greater-than-expected consumer spending in the winter months, slowing COVID-19 case rates and hospitalizations, and the likelihood of an impending fiscal stimulus package. However, the ESR Group notes that some of the expected growth quickenings stem from a pull-forward of growth that was previously expected to take place in 2022; subsequently, its forecast of full-year growth in 2022 decreased 0.8 percentage points this month to 2.8 percent. The ESR Group’s updated forecast also highlights greater uncertainty and downside risks, including stronger inflation and higher interest rates, as well as potentially weaker growth if COVID-related restrictions persist beyond the spring.

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Housing Starts Finish 2020 Strong, but Trouble Could be on the Horizon: NAHB

While housing starts ended the year on a strong note, rising lumber prices and increasing regulatory cost concerns could affect future production. Led by a solid, double-digit gain in single-family starts, overall housing starts increased 5.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.67 million units, according to a report from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau.

The December reading of 1.67 million starts is the number of housing units builders would begin if development kept this pace for the next 12 months. Within this overall number, single-family starts increased 12.0 percent to a 1.34 million seasonally adjusted annual rate. The multifamily sector, which includes apartment buildings and condos, decreased 13.6 percent to a 331,000 pace.

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FHA to Allow DACA Status Recipients to Apply for Administration-insured Mortgages

The Federal Housing Administration announced Jan. 20 that it will allow individuals classified under the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program who are legally permitted to work in the U.S. to apply for mortgages backed by the FHA. Borrowers must satisfy the same requirements as U.S. citizens to be eligible.

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New Supply of Office Buildings Adds to Vacancy Woes: Report

By Michael Tucker

Cushman & Wakefield, Chicago, reported the recession that began in March is still being felt in the U.S. office market.

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Colliers Survey Shows ‘Surge’ in Commercial Property Investment Expected This Year

Leading diversified professional services and investment management firm Colliers International Group Inc. (NASDAQ and TSX: CIGI) reveals investors are largely optimistic about a market rebound in 2021, according to its new Global Capital Markets 2021 Investor Outlook. Colliers’ research anticipates a 50 per cent surge in investment activity in the second half of the year, pointing to a broad-based renewal of confidence in the property market as a result of recent vaccine developments and continued government stimulus.

“Based on our global analysis, which gives us a bird’s-eye view of investors’ interests and expected appetite, longer-term tailwinds in the property sector remain intact. With a massive volume of equity raised globally and the need for real assets, investors are eager to deploy pent-up capital and pursue opportunities during the year,” said Tony Horrell, Head of Capital Markets | Global at Colliers International. “We expect to see movement up the risk curve this year, with investors exploring all types of assets from senior care homes to public infrastructure projects.”

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FHFA Extends Moratorium on Single-family Foreclosures

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the Enterprises) will extend the moratoriums on single-family foreclosures and real estate owned (REO) evictions until February 28, 2021.  The foreclosure moratorium applies to Enterprise-backed, single-family mortgages only. The REO eviction moratorium applies to properties that have been acquired by an Enterprise through foreclosure or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure transactions. The current moratoriums were set to expire on January 31, 2021.

“To keep our communities safe, and families in their homes during the COVID-19 pandemic, FHFA is extending Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's foreclosure and eviction moratorium," said Director Mark Calabria. 

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Moratorium on Foreclosure Activity Results in Record Low Filings in 2020, Data Shows

Foreclosures were 57% lower in 2020 than in 2019, reaching a record low of 214,323 filings on residential properties — 0.16% of all housing units — due to the government moratorium, analytics firm ATTOM Data Solutions reported Jan. 14. The highest foreclosure rates were reported in Delaware, Illinois and New Jersey.

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Residential Activity Strong, CRE Struggles: Fed Beige Book

Residential real estate activity remained strong in many fed districts even as home prices increased due to inventory shortages, but commercial activity still struggled amid weak conditions, according to the latest Beige Book released Jan. 13 by the Federal Reserve.

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SBA Re-opens Paycheck Protection Program for New and Some Current Borrowers

The Small Business Administration, in consultation with the Department of the Treasury, on Jan. 11 re-opened the Paycheck Protection Program for new borrowers and select current ones. The latest round of funding authorizes up to $284 billion for small business owners to aid in job retention for their employees and to assist with other expenses.

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GSEs Extend Flexibilities for Appraisals, Employment Verification

The Federal Housing Finance Agency announced Jan. 14 that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will extend their flexibilities pertaining to both property appraisals and employment verification through Feb 28. The flexibilities were initially put in place in March 2020 and extended throughout last year in an effort to facilitate liquidity in the mortgage marketplace during the coronavirus outbreak.

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